QM · rank #6 · 2026-09-09
PKN
GPW · PLN · $49.70B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +92.42% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +8.7% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.5% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $49.70B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-10 | $150.06 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-08 | $77.99 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
PKN Orlen is Poland's dominant integrated energy group spanning upstream oil & gas, refining, petrochemicals, power, retail fuel, and growing renewables across Central and Eastern Europe.
Rationale
Strong 12-1 momentum (0.92) is reinforced by Q2 2026 EBITDA beating expectations on wider refining and petrochemical margins, while the diversified multi-segment model and secured crude supply contracts provide the earnings stability that quality-momentum strategies require.
Material risks
- 1ROE of 8.7% and profit margin of 4.5% are thin for a quality screen — state-influenced capital allocation (Polimery Police acquisition, renewables buildout) risks diluting returns further rather than compounding them.
- 2Refining margin normalization is the primary earnings driver risk; a crude-product spread compression would directly unwind the beat-driven momentum without a structural moat to cushion the reversal.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.