QM · rank #3 · 2026-09-09
XTB
GPW · PLN · $4.92B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +123.16% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +58.4% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +41.3% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $4.92B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-10 | $166.28 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-08 | $74.51 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
XTB is a Polish retail forex and CFD broker generating high-margin revenues from a rapidly growing active client base across European markets.
Rationale
The quality_momentum signal is strongly reinforced: 12-1 momentum of 1.23 aligns with record 2026 earnings beats (Q1 and Q2 both ~15-30% above consensus), ROE of 58% and profit margin of 41% confirm elite capital efficiency for a capital-light brokerage scaling aggressively on client acquisition.
Material risks
- 1Earnings are acutely volume- and volatility-dependent — 2025 net profit already compressed to PLN 644m from PLN 857m in 2024 despite revenue growth, demonstrating how quickly margins collapse when trading activity normalizes, which could rapidly invalidate the momentum leg.
- 2Regulatory tightening on CFD leverage limits or marketing restrictions (ESMA-style interventions) could simultaneously cap client acquisition ROI and compress revenue per active client, hitting both the growth and margin pillars of the quality thesis.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.