QM · rank #14 · 2026-09-10
KTY
GPW · PLN · $3.34B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +48.56% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +36.7% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +11.6% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $3.34B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-11 | $1,249.27 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-11 | $840.93 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Grupa Kęty is a vertically integrated Polish aluminum processor spanning extruded profiles, architectural systems, and flexible packaging, selling into construction, automotive, and food/pharma markets across 50+ countries.
Rationale
The momentum signal (0.49 trailing 12-1m) is directly reinforced by hard fundamental delivery — Q2 2026 record revenue +15% y/y, EBITDA +28%, net profit +42%, and management flagging 5-6% budget outperformance — making this a quality-driven price move, not sentiment-only rotation.
Material risks
- 1Construction-segment volume concentration means any sharp European residential/commercial building slowdown would simultaneously compress utilization from the current 90%+ level and deflate the margin expansion that underpins the ROE (0.37) and profit margin (0.116) signals.
- 2The H1 2026 dividend payout ratio in the mid-80s% leaves limited retained earnings for capex self-funding; if aluminum input costs spike or PLN/EUR moves adversely, the company may need to re-lever from the already-improved but still meaningful ~1.0-1.1x net debt/EBITDA.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.