QM · rank #17 · 2026-09-10
PBF
NYSE · $9.07B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +226.40% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +23.2% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +3.9% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $500M required. | $9.07B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-11 | $69.09 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-11 | $21.17 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
PBF Energy is an independent U.S. petroleum refiner generating returns through exposure to crack spreads across a portfolio of refining assets, with the Martinez refinery restart adding incremental throughput capacity.
Rationale
The quality-momentum signal is reinforced by a blowout Q2 2026 beat ($6.22 adj. EPS vs. $4.15 consensus), 23% ROE, rapid debt reduction of $1.4B, and strong 12-month price momentum driven by tangible earnings acceleration rather than sentiment alone.
Material risks
- 1Refining margin compression is the single most thesis-breaking risk — PBF has no contracted backlog or pricing power independent of market crack spreads, so any crude price spike or product market loosening collapses earnings rapidly and invalidates the quality signal.
- 2Martinez refinery restart execution risk could impair volumes and introduce unexpected costs or downtime, undermining the incremental throughput thesis that partially supports the current earnings trajectory.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.