QM · rank #15 · 2026-09-10
ZAB
GPW · PLN · $8.50B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +44.50% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +66.7% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.4% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $8.50B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-11 | $31.50 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-11 | $21.80 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Żabka Group is Poland's dominant convenience retailer operating ~12,750 franchise stores with early-stage expansion into Romania and autonomous store formats.
Rationale
Strong 12-month price momentum (0.45) is directly reinforced by accelerating fundamentals — Q2 2026 net profit +66% YoY and an 8% post-earnings share pop — while a 66.7% ROE signals the capital-light franchise model is generating exceptional returns on equity, validating the quality-momentum pairing.
Material risks
- 1Like-for-like growth remains modest (3.2–4%), meaning the revenue story is heavily dependent on continued net store additions; any slowdown in franchisee recruitment or real-estate access would deflate both the growth and quality signals simultaneously.
- 2Franchisee margin pressure is an explicitly tracked metric — if Żabka must subsidize franchisees to sustain network expansion, reported ROE and profit margins could compress materially from already thin 4.4% net margins.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.