QM · rank #2 · 2026-09-11
KGH
GPW · PLN · $20.39B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +170.06% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +24.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +20.0% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $20.39B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-12 | $367.15 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-12 | $135.95 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
KGHM Polska Miedz is a vertically integrated Polish copper and silver producer with global operations including the Sierra Gorda mine in Chile and a market cap of ~$20.4B.
Rationale
The momentum signal (1.70) is directly reinforced by fundamental reality — H1 2026 net profit ~10x year-on-year and EBITDA up ~89% on copper price strength, with ROE of 24% and 20% profit margins confirming the quality screen is not a mirage.
Material risks
- 1Earnings are explicitly price-driven rather than volume-driven, meaning a copper price reversal would rapidly collapse the ROE and margin metrics that justify the quality screen, invalidating the thesis at the source.
- 2The 49% guided drop in molybdenum output in 2026 illustrates operational mix risk, and Sierra Gorda's ~$504M carrying value remains exposed to Chilean policy and taxation shifts that could trigger an impairment.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.