QM · rank #3 · 2026-09-11
MT
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $58.14B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +126.74% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +3.3% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +2.9% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $58.14B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-12 | $64.18 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-12 | $28.31 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ArcelorMittal is the world's largest steel producer by volume, operating integrated steelmaking assets across Europe, the Americas, and emerging markets.
Rationale
The 12-1 momentum signal (1.27) is reinforced by a concrete fundamental catalyst — Q2 2026 European EBITDA/tonne hitting a three-year high of $98, driven by EU safeguard measures and the new TRQ trade tool, giving the momentum a policy-backed earnings floor rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1EU trade protection (safeguards, TRQ) is the primary earnings lever for the European reset thesis — any political reversal, WTO challenge, or expiry of these measures would directly collapse the margin improvement that justifies both the momentum and the quality screen.
- 2ROE of 3.3% and net margin of 2.9% are thin for a quality screen, leaving virtually no buffer if steel spreads compress on demand softness from a European or Chinese macro slowdown.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.