QM · rank #5 · 2026-09-11
PKN
GPW · PLN · $49.95B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +96.42% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +8.7% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.5% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $49.95B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-12 | $155.68 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-12 | $79.26 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
PKN Orlen is Poland's dominant integrated energy group spanning upstream oil & gas, refining, petrochemicals, power, retail fuel, and growing renewables across Central and Northern Europe.
Rationale
Strong 12-1 momentum (0.96) is reinforced by a Q2 2026 EBITDA beat on wider refining/petrochemical margins, new Norwegian Sea production, and secured crude supply contracts — tangible operational catalysts underpinning price action rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1ROE of 8.7% and profit margin of 4.5% are thin for an integrated major, and any reversal in refining crack spreads or petrochemical margins — the explicit drivers of the Q2 beat — would rapidly compress earnings and undercut the quality leg of this thesis.
- 2The Polimery Police acquisition carries live legal dispute risk with the JV partner; a failed or costly resolution could impair capital allocation and weigh on the stock precisely as momentum peaks.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.