QM · rank #14 · 2026-09-11
ZAB
GPW · PLN · $8.47B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +45.16% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +66.7% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.4% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $8.47B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-12 | $31.50 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-12 | $21.70 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Żabka Group (ZAB) is Poland's dominant convenience store operator with 12,339 points of sale, a growing Romanian footprint, and a data-enabled digital customer offering, listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange since October 2024.
Rationale
The quality-momentum signal is reinforced by concrete fundamentals — 45% trailing momentum aligns with 14.1% revenue growth, 78% reported net profit growth, and a 66.7% ROE that reflects the capital-light franchise model generating high returns on a relatively thin equity base.
Material risks
- 1Like-for-like sales vulnerability to Polish consumer spending softness is the primary thesis-breaker, as ZAB's momentum is almost entirely volume/network-expansion driven rather than pricing power, making it acutely sensitive to any real-income deterioration compressing small-basket convenience purchases.
- 2Intensifying quick-commerce and discount supermarket competition (Biedronka, Lidl, Glovo-style players) could compress the 3.2% adjusted net margin further, given the absence of long-term contracted revenue and the thin-margin grocery context in which ZAB operates.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.