QM · rank #19 · 2026-10-20
DHL
XETRA · EUR · $72.62B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +54.99% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +18.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.3% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $72.62B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-18 | $56.00 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-19 | $36.13 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
DHL Group is the world's largest integrated logistics operator, running air express, freight forwarding, contract logistics, eCommerce parcel delivery, and domestic German mail across a dense global network.
Rationale
The 55% trailing momentum signal is directly supported by fundamental acceleration — Q3 EBIT up 16% YoY, FY2026 guidance raised to above €7.0 billion EBIT, and Express divisional EBIT up 64% in Q2 — confirming that price appreciation reflects genuine earnings revision rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Express momentum is materially dependent on temporary air-freight capacity scarcity; normalization of belly-cargo supply or a global trade volume deceleration could rapidly deflate the division driving the bulk of the earnings beat and guidance raise.
- 2eCommerce revenue fell 7.5% in H1 2026 and remains pressured by the Evri accounting change and currency headwinds, creating a structural drag that partially offsets Express strength and introduces execution risk from the Open Market and Venipak integrations still pending full close.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.