QM · rank #7 · 2026-10-20
GPW
GPW · PLN · $1.15B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +69.99% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +20.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +35.9% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $1.15B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-18 | $94.60 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-19 | $55.65 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
GPW operates Poland's sole national stock and commodity exchange, generating revenue from trading fees, market data, and clearing across equities, bonds, derivatives, and energy markets.
Rationale
Record H1 2026 results (revenue +17.3%, net profit +18.2%), 60% YoY September turnover surge, 20% ROE, and 36% profit margins confirm that momentum_12_1 of 0.70 reflects genuine fundamental acceleration, not mere sentiment rotation, validating the quality-momentum screen.
Material risks
- 1Earnings are heavily leveraged to equity turnover velocity (50.2% H1), meaning any reversal in Polish retail participation, foreign capital flows, or market sentiment directly collapses the revenue base with no order backlog or contracted revenue to cushion the drawdown.
- 2TGE commodity revenues already declined 7% YoY in Q2 due to weak gas and energy-forward liquidity, and the newly live proprietary WATS platform introduces operational-resilience and cybersecurity tail risk that could disrupt the core trading franchise.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.