← Quality Momentum

QM · rank #13 · 2026-10-20

SBMO

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.55B (USD)

SignalBuy2.4strength 2.4 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Momentum 12-1
Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago.
+73.00%
ROE TTM
Return on equity, trailing 12 months.
+18.0%
Profit margin
Net profit margin, trailing 12 months.
+15.8%
Market cap (USD)
Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent).
$6.55B
Anchor (recent)
Close on 2026-09-18
$36.60
Anchor (far)
Close on 2025-09-19
$21.16

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

SBM Offshore designs, builds, and leases FPSOs under long-term contracts, with a US$35.6 billion directional backlog anchored by Petrobras and ExxonMobil deepwater awards.

Rationale

The 73% 12-1 month momentum is structurally grounded — raised 2026 guidance, two fresh Petrobras SEAP contracts, and a Guyana FEED award provide concrete earnings catalysts that justify price continuation rather than mere sentiment rotation.

Material risks

  • 1Petrobras and Guyana basin concentration means a single operator capital-reallocation decision or oil-price-driven deferral could impair backlog conversion on SEAP-I/II and GranMorgu simultaneously, directly breaking the revenue-visibility thesis.
  • 2Turnkey revenue (US$5.2B of the US$7.6B 2026 guide) is execution-dependent; cost overruns or schedule slippage on the four active FPSO builds could compress the 18% profit margin that underpins the quality screen.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed