QM · rank #18 · 2026-10-22
ABN
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $36.88B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +68.51% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +9.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +27.7% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $36.88B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-22 | $43.35 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-22 | $25.73 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ABN AMRO is a major Dutch universal bank with leading mortgage origination, private banking, and corporate lending franchises, now expanded via the August 2026 NIBC acquisition.
Rationale
The 0.69 12-1 momentum score is grounded in fundamental delivery — 29% YoY net profit growth, raised NII guidance, a €7.5B+ capital return commitment, and a completed acquisition — making the momentum signal earnings-driven rather than purely sentiment-driven, which is the quality-momentum sweet spot.
Material risks
- 1NLFI's structured sell-down from 20.7% to 10.5% creates a known, durable share-supply overhang that can mechanically cap price appreciation and absorb capital inflows, directly competing with the momentum continuation thesis.
- 2NIBC integration is execution-stage with ~70-75bp CET1 drag and no realized synergies yet; a credit or NII disappointment during the legal-merger phase could break the earnings-upgrade cycle underpinning the quality signal.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.