QM · rank #19 · 2026-10-22
AUGO
NASDAQ · $7.06B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +178.57% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +100.2% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +23.2% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $500M required. | $7.06B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-22 | $92.77 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-22 | $33.30 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Aura Minerals (AUGO) is a mid-tier multi-asset gold producer operating six mines across Brazil, Mexico and Honduras, with production ramping at Borborema and MSG while Era Dorada is under full construction.
Rationale
The momentum_12_1 of 1.79 is directly reinforced by verified 27% QoQ and 29% YoY production growth, maintained 340–390k GEO guidance and a near-pristine 0.2x net-debt/EBITDA balance sheet that supports the quality screen's ROE and margin signals.
Material risks
- 1MSG underground turnaround carries inherited infrastructure deficiencies that could suppress GEO output and inflate unit costs precisely as capex commitments escalate to ~US$280–325M annually plus the US$118M fleet-insourcing obligation, compressing free cash flow and threatening the quality signal.
- 2Borborema and Almas throughput bottlenecks combined with mine-sequencing grade risk could cause a production miss against guidance, breaking the momentum narrative that is the primary driver of the screen.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.