QM · rank #20 · 2026-10-22
DHL
XETRA · EUR · $71.88B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +65.00% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +18.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.3% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $71.88B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-22 | $58.62 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-22 | $35.53 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Deutsche Post AG (DHL) is a global integrated logistics operator spanning express delivery, air/ocean forwarding, contract logistics, eCommerce, and domestic German mail, serving over 220 countries and territories.
Rationale
The 0.65 twelve-month momentum signal is reinforced by a concrete fundamental catalyst — Q3 EBIT up 16% YoY, a raised FY2026 EBIT guide above €7.0 billion, and Express division EBIT surging 64.3% in Q2 — giving the momentum a earnings-revision backbone rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Express's outsized earnings contribution is materially tied to temporary air-freight capacity scarcity; normalization of that constraint could rapidly deflate the division's 64% EBIT growth and undercut the momentum signal's fundamental support.
- 2eCommerce revenue fell 7.5% in H1 2026 and remains pressured by the Evri accounting change and currency headwinds, while Open Market and Venipak integrations add execution risk before regulatory closes are confirmed.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.