← Quality Momentum

QM · rank #5 · 2026-10-22

PKN

GPW · PLN · $44.91B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.4strength 4.4 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Momentum 12-1
Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago.
+81.88%
ROE TTM
Return on equity, trailing 12 months.
+8.7%
Profit margin
Net profit margin, trailing 12 months.
+4.5%
Market cap (USD)
Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent).
$44.91B
Anchor (recent)
Close on 2026-09-22
$149.54
Anchor (far)
Close on 2025-09-22
$82.22

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

ORLEN SA is Central and Eastern Europe's largest integrated multi-energy group, operating seven refineries, power generation, upstream oil and gas assets, and a retail network of 3,500 stations [0].

Rationale

The strong 81.9% momentum signal is backed by quality fundamentals including a 0.1x net debt/EBITDA ratio, PLN 15.2 billion in Q2 cash flow, and a proposed record PLN 8 dividend [0].

Material risks

  • 1Fiscal and regulatory drag from an estimated PLN 2 billion windfall tax alongside potential further Polish or EU policy interventions in fuel pricing [0].
  • 2Refining and petrochemical margin compression from commodity cycle weakness, compounded by Q3 planned maintenance at the Płock refinery and upstream assets [0].

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed