QM · rank #20 · 2026-10-22
TOR
GPW · PLN · $390M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +41.98% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +15.4% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.0% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $390M |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-22 | $69.00 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-22 | $48.60 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Torpol SA (TOR@GPW) is a Poland-focused railway infrastructure contractor executing large-scale modernization and track projects almost exclusively for state-owned PKP PLK under public procurement.
Rationale
The PLN 2.96bn Warszawa cross-city contract lifts backlog to ~PLN 6.8–6.9bn, providing multi-year revenue visibility that underpins the quality-momentum signal — 12-1 momentum of 42% reflects real contract newsflow, not mere sentiment rotation, while improving gross margins (+22% YoY) validate the ROE screen.
Material risks
- 1Backlog concentration (~83% in three contracts) means a single cost overrun, delay, or PKP PLK budget revision could materially impair both earnings and the momentum thesis simultaneously.
- 2Ongoing CEO vacancy (acting-president resigned, permanent search underway) creates execution and governance uncertainty precisely as the largest contract in company history ramps up.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.