QM · rank #19 · 2026-10-23
DHL
XETRA · EUR · $72.18B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +58.67% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +18.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.3% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $72.18B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-23 | $57.30 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-23 | $36.11 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
DHL AG is a global integrated logistics operator spanning Express, Global Forwarding, Supply Chain, eCommerce, and German Post & Parcel, with Q3 2026 revenue of ~€22.6 billion and raised FY2026 EBIT guidance above €7.0 billion.
Rationale
The 58.7% 12-1 month momentum is directly anchored in fundamental delivery — a 16% Q3 EBIT beat, a guidance raise, and 18% ROE confirm that price strength reflects real earnings acceleration rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Approximately €100 million of Q3 Express EBIT came from constrained air-freight capacity, a cyclical tailwind that could reverse sharply and expose DHL to yield compression across its highest-margin division without a sole-source moat to buffer it.
- 2Geopolitical disruption or trade-policy deterioration (tariffs, sanctions) could compress global cross-border volumes precisely where DHL earns its highest yields, and management explicitly conditions the raised guidance on no major geopolitical deterioration.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.