QM · rank #17 · 2026-10-23
MAU
PARIS · EUR · $1.80B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +63.98% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +35.3% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +74.8% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $1.80B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-23 | $8.14 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-23 | $4.96 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Etablissements Maurel et Prom (MAU) is a Paris-listed mid-cap E&P with producing oil and gas assets across Gabon, Angola, Tanzania, Colombia, and Venezuela, now pursuing a transformative acquisition of Gran Tierra to expand its Colombian and Ecuadorian footprint.
Rationale
The quality_momentum signal is reinforced by concrete fundamentals—35% ROE, 75% profit margins, 17% revenue growth through 9M 2026, $98.8/bbl oil realizations, and a sequential Q3 production acceleration—alongside visible operational catalysts (Kasa-1X discovery, Mnazi Bay expansion) that give the momentum a fundamental anchor rather than pure sentiment.
Material risks
- 1Commodity-price reversal is the primary thesis-breaker: the unusually high profit margins and ROE are materially dependent on elevated oil realizations, and a reversion toward $75/bbl would compress both metrics sharply, invalidating the quality screen that drives the signal.
- 2Gran Tierra closing risk—pending Colombian and Ecuadorian regulatory approvals—combined with the $465M refinancing adds execution and leverage overhang that could disrupt the clean balance sheet narrative if approvals are delayed or the deal closes on worse-than-expected terms.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.