QM · rank #17 · 2026-10-23
TOR
GPW · PLN · $397M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +44.68% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +15.4% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.0% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $397M |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-23 | $69.30 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-23 | $47.90 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Torpol SA (TOR@GPW) is a leading Polish railway-modernization and infrastructure contractor executing a PLN 6.34 billion backlog of public-sector projects through 2030, anchored by the PLN 2.96 billion Warszawa Wschodnia contract.
Rationale
The 44.7% trailing momentum is reinforced by genuine fundamental improvement — 1H26 revenue +7.1%, EBITDA +16.4%, ROE of 15.4%, and a backlog doubling to PLN 6.34 billion — giving the quality_momentum signal concrete earnings-visibility support rather than pure sentiment.
Material risks
- 1Negative operating cash flow of PLN 193.6 million in 1H26 despite reported profits signals heavy working-capital absorption on large contracts, which could force dilutive financing or constrain execution if PKP PLK payment timing slips.
- 2CPK's entry onto the supervisory board introduces governance and capital-allocation uncertainty at a moment when CPK-related tenders represent a key growth catalyst, creating a potential conflict between shareholder returns and state-directed project prioritization.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.