QM · rank #15 · 2026-10-26
ABN
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $36.11B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +66.61% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +9.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +27.7% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $36.11B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-25 | $43.65 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-26 | $26.20 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ABN AMRO is a major Dutch universal bank offering retail, private banking and corporate banking services, now expanded via the August 2026 NIBC acquisition to deepen its Dutch mortgage and savings franchise.
Rationale
The 12-month momentum signal (0.67) is reinforced by concrete fundamental delivery — Q2 2026 net profit up 29% YoY, ROE of 12.1% beating the model's TTM figure, raised NII guidance to €6.8bn, and lowered cost guidance — suggesting the price trend reflects genuine earnings acceleration rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1NIBC integration execution risk is live and material — legal merger preparation is underway and any cost overrun, synergy shortfall or operational disruption would directly undercut the raised 2026 guidance that underpins the current momentum signal.
- 2NII sensitivity is the primary earnings driver, and falling European interest rates or adverse deposit repricing could rapidly compress the €6.8bn NII guidance, reversing both the quality and momentum signals simultaneously.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.