QM · rank #19 · 2026-10-27
ALE
GPW · PLN · $14.90B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +40.46% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +17.9% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +13.9% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $14.90B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-09-25 | $49.56 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-09-26 | $35.28 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Allegro.eu (ALE) is Poland's dominant online marketplace, generating ~PLN70bn in rolling 12-month GMV across marketplace, advertising, payments, and logistics, with a rapidly growing but smaller International segment.
Rationale
The quality_momentum signal is reinforced by concrete fundamentals — 16.3% revenue growth, 16.9% adjusted EBITDA growth, raised FY2026 guidance, a 40% 12-month price return, and durable Polish market leadership that an OECD study confirms is unlikely to be challenged near-term.
Material risks
- 1UOKiK regulatory scrutiny over alleged preferential treatment of Allegro's own retail operations could directly constrain ranking and monetization practices, threatening the take-rate recovery that underpins the earnings growth thesis.
- 2Chinese platforms retaining and potentially expanding Polish and international market share could commoditize cross-border assortment and pressure merchant economics, particularly as Allegro's Q2 take rate already declined 40bps year-over-year due to competitive discounting.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.